Player Profile: Daniel Jones
The New York Giants. When you think of that team, you probably think of an average team with mediocre fantasy assets. However, if you’re a big Giants fan, such as myself, you’ll see this is the furthest thing from reality. Daniel Jones aka Danny Dimes, QB NYG, came off one of the most underrated rookie campaigns in a long time.
The reality of this truly underrated rookie season is credited to Jones coming off of a 12-game rookie campaign with 24 touchdowns to 12 interceptions. You may not realize how significant that is. Just the year prior, Baker Mayfield, QB CLE, set the rookie passing touchdown record with 27. If Jones had played all 16 games, it is very possible Jones would have set the same record with over 30.
With a below average offensive line, Jones was also able to compile 3,027 yards. With the 2019 free agent signing of Golden Tate, WR NYG and 2019 draft pick Darius Slayton, WR NYG, look for Jones to build on that chemistry.
If you are looking to pick up Jones as your quarterback in dynasty, expect to pay up. In a superflex dynasty league, his average draft position (ADP), is the 5th round pick. Superflex leagues give players an option to slot a quarterback in their flex. With the offense looking to be completely healthy heading into the season, you can expect to see a big improvement from his first year. A 5th round pick on Jones will also solidify a potential top 12 quarterback or QB1 for a decade.
I want to throw it back to Jones’ first win versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in week 3. This was his very first career start and also the best day of the season for us Giants fans. Jones’ rushing ability raises his floor exponentially. Against the Bucs, Jones completed 63% of his passes for 336 yards and 2 touchdowns, adding 28 yards on 4 rush attempts. When you read that stat line, you probably think he had a decent game for his first start. What if I told you two of those rush attempts were touchdowns?
That game was an absolute thriller. If you started Jones, I would like to acknowledge what a great move that was. Jones’ very first start netted you 34.24 points in a standard four points per passing touchdown league. Do not underestimate the rushing ability of any quarterback. Rushing yards are worth significantly more than passing yardage. In 2019, Jones ran for 279 yards. Jones’ rushing ability is impossible to ignore. That rushing ability with an offensive line that has been beefed up for 2020 will certainly create a deadly combo. With the number 4 pick, the Giants took top prospect Andrew Thomas, OL NYG, out of Georgia.
When picking a quarterback for your draft, take a look at the scoring. Although it isn’t a normal setting, some leagues implement negative scoring when a quarterback is sacked. When implemented, the penalty for a sack is usually negative two points. Jones was sacked 38 times but the new and improved offensive line should keep Jones upright and limit the amount of sacks taken, while creating holes to improve Jones’ rushing ability. If you follow Jones’ rookie campaign, you will see how fearless Jones is with a rushing opportunity.
Look for Jones to improve on his rookie season with a healthy offense. If Evan Engram, TE NYG, and Sterling Shepard, WR NYG, can stay healthy with Slayton and Tate, you can expect Jones’ floor to be elevated. Slayton, a second-year wide receiver, put up eight touchdowns in his rookie season, giving Jones a great deep threat target. Tate, an established veteran, provides a safety net for Jones with his proven route running. In twelve games last year, Tate had forty-nine receptions for 676 yards and six touchdowns. Also, I must remind you the Giants also have Saquon Barkley, RB NYG, who is absolutely lethal with the ball. Barkley has the hands to be a wide reciever, which helps Jones with dump-offs. Having a pass-catching running back helps any quarterback rack up additional points.
In conclusion, there is a lot to be excited about. With Jones having a full year of experience and an offseason practicing with the starters, he should see his numbers improve in all metrics. My fearless forecast for Jones is he throws for over a 70% completion rate, 3,521 yards and 30 touchdowns. On top of that, he will rush for 429 yards and 6 touchdowns. This is going to be a big year for Jones.